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National Consultant for Philippine Poverty Risk Analysis Deploying an SDG Tool to Mitigate the Risks of Falling Back Into Poverty

Posted 279 days ago | Hits: 112
RFQ type:   NGO
Valid until:   24/11/2016

Objectives and Scope of Work

The key objective of this policy research is to provide evidence-based recommendations to manage the risk families and people sliding back into poverty. The analysis will proceed in these steps:

  • First, an analysis of the household determinants of moving in and out of poverty –using household surveys (matched in synthetic panels), and following the probit models described in Abud, Gray Molina and Ortiz-Juarez (2016). This part of the analysis will provide probability estimates for factors that slow or accelerate poverty eradication.
  • Second, analysis of the policy drivers behind the dynamics of moving in and out of poverty. These start by mapping policy interventions that would provide a “basket of interventions” to address net poverty eradication –including active labour policies, social protection policies, systems of care, and access to assets.

Where feasible, depending on data availability and technical capacity, microsimulation exercises to estimate the effect of closing gaps in social protection, systems of care or access to assets over poverty reduction trajectories. These projections will provide a useful benchmark for policy work on SDG achievement.

Expected Deliverables

This SDG tool will provide a critical input for effective national poverty strategies to meet the aspiration of leaving no one behind and enable progress across multiple SDGs by mitigating the risks of people falling back into poverty.

Policy-makers will gain an evidence-based understanding of the determinants that enable, or protect, people from sliding-back-into poverty. A set of recommendations is expected. The recommendations will indicate the type of interventions needed to prevent people falling back into poverty.

Tied to the expected outcome, the National Consultant is expected to deliver the following:

  1. A 20-page country report
  2. Analysis and policy recommendations resulting in a 5-page pages policy brief for national authorities and technical staff of relevant departments
  3. Presentation of findings.



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